Obama's in trouble. After the national convention, a presidential candidate ought to see a 10-15 point bounce...nothing. Not only that, but McCain's surprise pick of Sarah Palin, an energetic corruption-buster and staunch social conservative from Wasilla, Alaska, has been earning praise from the conservative base--and, just as importantly, millions in campaign contributions. The pick upstaged the DNC and started the excitement of the GOP convention early. Obama has already looked seriously wishy-washy and trite in a one-on-one debate with McCain; the Arizonan maverick is clearly a better debater than the Chicago machine pol. And in one nationally televised debate, the feisty and intelligent Palin will reveal Biden to be an old, establishment blowhard and an intellectual lightweight. The Obama campaign is looking more and more like failed Democratic campaigns past, whereas the McCain camp has energy and the promise of serious reform. For the second time in as many presidential elections, a Democrat will speak on the first day of the Republican National Convention.
Everything's coming up roses for the GOP.